Third-party candidate Tom Tancredo has now moved past Republican nominee Dan Maes, but Democrat John Hickenlooper still remains well ahead in the race to be Colorado’s next governor.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Colorado finds Hickenlooper earning 46% support, his best showing in the three-way race to date. Tancredo picks up 25% of the vote, while Maes runs third with 21%. One percent (1%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.
Most analysts see Hickenlooper as the easy winner as long as Maes and Tancredo split the GOP vote. Maes currently carries just 46% of the voters in his own party, while Tancredo, a former GOP congressman, picks up 36% Republican support.
Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Colorado Democrats support Hickenlooper. Among voters not affiliated with either party, 41% favor Hickenlooper to Tancredo’s 32% and Maes’ 17%.
The race remains Solid Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Gubernatorial Scorecard.
Eighty-five percent (85%) of Hickenlooper supporters say they are already certain how they will vote in November, compared to just 53% of Maes voters and 48% of those who favor Tancredo.
Two weeks ago, Hickenlooper, currently the mayor of Denver, held a 36% lead to Maes’ 24% and Tancredo’s 14%. Twenty percent (20%) were undecided at that time, but that number has dropped dramatically to the apparent advantage of Hickenlooper and Tancredo, the candidate of the American Constitution Party.
Just after Maes won the Republican Primary in early August, it was Hickenlooper 43%, Maes 31% and Tancredo 18%. GOP frontrunner Scott McInnis, who had been leading Hickenlooper consistently for months, was felled by a plagiarism scandal, and, reflecting the unhappiness of many Republicans in the state, Tancredo jumped into the race, saying Maes had no chance of winning.
The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Colorado was conducted on September 12, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.