It’s nearly a dead heat in the race for the U.S. Senate. Republican Mark Kirk (42 percent) edges Democrat Alexi Giannoulias (41 percent), though the race is well within the statistical margin of error. Green Party candidate LeAlan Jones has 4 percent, followed by Libertarian Mike Labno, with 3 percent. There are 10 percent still undecided.
Few believe that the recession is over in Illinois. Only 12 percent indicate it is, while 83 percent say it’s not over. And when likely voters were asked if the job situation will improve in the next six months, only 35 percent indicated yes, while 54 percent said no.
Current issues in Illinois that were polled included marriage equality for same-sex couples, of which 37 percent of likely voters stated they favor absolute prohibition of any legally recognized union, and 30 percent of respondents said they favored legal recognition of marriage between people of the same sex, while 24 percent said they preferred the recognition of civil unions. Other issues included term limits for Congressional officials. Sixty-nine percent of likely Illinois voters said that there should be federally mandated term limits for Congressional officials of no more than six terms of two years each.
In the bellwether Randolph County, Kirk led Giannoulias 35 percent to 30 percent.
The statewide survey of 500 Illinois likely voters was conducted Sept. 30 – Oct. 3, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The Randolph County bellwether included 300 likely voters polled 10/2-10/3. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.