Republican Bill Brady earns his highest level of support yet against Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn in Illinois’ gubernatorial contest, moving this race from a Toss-Up to Solid GOP in the Election 2010 Gubernatorial Scorecard.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state, with leaners included, finds Brady picking up 50% of the vote, while Quinn earns 37% support. Green Party candidate Rich Whitney, included for the first time in a Rasmussen Reports survey of this race, earns just four percent (4%) of the vote. Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.
Late last month, when leaners were included in the totals, Brady, a state senator, held a 49% to 41% advantage over Quinn.
Leaners are those who initially indicate no preference for either of the candidates but answer a follow-up question and say they are leaning towards a particular candidate. From this point forward, Rasmussen Reports considers results with leaners the primary indicator of the race.
If leaners are not included in the latest survey, Brady has 45% support to Quinn’s 30% and Whitney’s nine percent (9%). In the previous survey, without leaners, Brady led Quinn 46% to 37%.
Sixty-three percent (63%) of Brady voters say they are already certain of how they will vote in November, as are 57% of Quinn supporters and 42% of those who are backing Whitney.
The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Illinois was conducted on September 12, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.