Republican Brady Is “Solid” In Illinois Governor’s Race

Republican Bill Brady earns his highest level of support yet against Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn in Illinois’ gubernatorial contest, moving this race from a Toss-Up to Solid GOP in the Election 2010 Gubernatorial Scorecard.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state, with leaners included, finds Brady picking up 50% of the vote, while Quinn earns 37% support.  Green Party candidate Rich Whitney, included for the first time in a Rasmussen Reports survey of this race, earns just four percent (4%) of the vote.  Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.

Late last month, when leaners were included in the totals, Brady, a state senator, held a 49% to 41% advantage over Quinn.

Leaners are those who initially indicate no preference for either of the candidates but answer a follow-up question and say they are leaning towards a particular candidate. From this point forward, Rasmussen Reports considers results with leaners the primary indicator of the race.

If leaners are not included in the latest survey, Brady has 45% support to Quinn’s 30% and Whitney’s nine percent (9%).  In the previous survey, without leaners, Brady led Quinn 46% to 37%.

Sixty-three percent (63%) of Brady voters say they are already certain of how they will vote in November, as are 57% of Quinn supporters and 42% of those who are backing Whitney.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Illinois was conducted on September 12, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Read more at Rasmussen Reports

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