New Hampshire Governor’s Race Is A Toss-Up

Following his Republican primary win Tuesday, GOP nominee John Stephen receives a bounce in support against Democratic Governor John Lynch in New Hampshire’s gubernatorial race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Lynch picking up 48% support, while Stephen, the former state Health and Human Services commissioner, is right behind with 46% of the vote. One percent (1%) prefer a different candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

The latest results move this race from Solid Democratic to Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Gubernatorial Scorecard.

These findings mark the highest level of support yet for Stephen, who picked up 61% of the vote to win Tuesday’s GOP primary. In August, Lynch led Stephen 50% to 39%.

Prior to the latest survey, Stephen’s support had ranged from 35% to 39% since February. During that same period, Lynch’s support has fallen into a narrow range of 47% to 50%. But the governor’s support has now fallen below 50% in three out of five polls of the race.

Lynch, who is seeking a fourth two-year term, is backed by 85% of Democrats, while Stephen receives support from 82% of GOP voters. Stephen holds a slight lead over Lynch among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in New Hampshire was conducted on September 15, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

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