As documented in a report published at Smart Politics on Monday, all significant shifts in favor of the Republican Party in the U.S. House and U.S. Senate have been preceded by National League victories in the All-Star Game over the last 60 years.
In an interview with POLITICO Tuesday afternoon on the mysterious yet powerfully predictive value of the annual baseball classic, Smart Politics predicted that the National League would finally end its 13-game winless drought and once again set the table for large Republican gains in Congress this November.
True to form, the National League rallied from a 1-0 deficit in the late innings on a bases clearing double by Atlanta Braves catcher Brian McCann, leading to a 3-1 victory.
That result parallels the come-from-behind victories notched by the National League during the 1966, 1980, and 1994 All-Star classics – games which preceded Republican tsunamis in the U.S. House in each of those Novembers to the tune of +47, +34, and +54 net GOP seats respectively in those election cycles.
Overall, a National League victory has preceded each of the last nine elections in which Republicans have scored double-digit gains in U.S. House seats since 1950.
Similarly, a National League victory has preceded every election cycle in which Senate Republicans have won five or more seats over the past 60 years.
Congressional Republicans have never made substantial gains in either chamber during years in which the American League won the annual classic during this span.