Democratic Governor Ted Strickland still trails his Republican challenger, John Kasich, by eight points in his bid for reelection in Ohio.
The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Kasich picking up 47% support while Strickland draws the vote from 39%. Seven percent (7%) prefer another candidate in the race while another seven percent (7%) are undecided.
The latest results are little changed from those found two weeks ago, when Kasich attracted 48% of the vote while Strickland earned 40%. But the race had been close for months prior to the previous survey. Since December, the Republican’s support has ranged narrowly from 45% to 49%, while the Democrat in those same surveys has earned 38% to 45% of the vote.
This race remains Leans Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Gubernatorial Scorecard.
When leaners are included in the new totals, Kasich’s lead grows to 12 points. With the leaners, 52% favor Kasich, and 40% are for Strickland. Two weeks ago, Kasich held a 52% to 42% edge among leaners.
Leaners are those who initially indicate no preference for either of the candidates but answer a follow-up question and say they are leaning towards a particular candidate.
Early in any campaign, the numbers without leaners are generally more significant. Later in a campaign, the numbers with leaners matter more. After Labor Day, Rasmussen Reports will report the numbers with leaners as the primary indicators of the campaign.
Seventy-five percent (75%) of supporters for both candidates are certain of how they will vote this November.
Kasich earns the vote from 86% of Republicans, while Strickland is backed by 75% of Democrats. Kasich leads by a greater than two-to-one margin among voters in Ohio not affiliated with either major political party.
The statewide survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on August 30, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.