Republican Chris Dudley continues to hold a small lead over Democrat John Kitzhaber in Oregon’s gubernatorial race.
The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Dudley picking up 49% of the vote, while Kitzhaber draws support from 44% when leaners are included. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.
Just over two weeks ago, Dudley led Kirtzhaber 49% to 45% when leaners were first included in the totals. Leaners are those who initially indicate no preference for either of the candidates but answer a follow-up question and say they are leaning towards a particular candidate. From this point forward, Rasmussen Reports considers results with leaners the primary indicator of the race.
This race remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Gubernatorial Scorecard.
Results before leaners are added find Dudley with a 47% to 43% edge over Kitzhaber. Last month, the candidates were virtually tied in results not including leaners. Seventy-three percent (73%) of Dudley’s supporters are certain of their vote this November, along with 74% of those who back Kitzhaber.
Dudley, a former professional basketball player turned businessman, is now backed by 85% of Republicans in Oregon. Kitzhaber, who served as governor of Oregon from 1995 to 2003, draws support from 77% of Democrats. Dudley leads 53% to 38% among voters not affiliated with either major political party in the state.
The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Oregon was conducted on September 8, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.