Less than seven weeks out from the first nominating contest in Iowa, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has taken the lead (although within the margin of error) on former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney for the 2012 GOP nomination, according to the latest poll from CNN (conducted November 18-20). CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser has more:
According to the survey, 24% of Republicans and independent voters who lean towards the GOP say they are most likely to support Gingrich for their party’s nomination, with 20% saying they back Mitt Romney, the former Massachusetts governor who is making his second bid for the presidency.
Gingrich’s four point margin over Romney is within the survey’s sampling error. A CNN poll released one week ago had Romney at 24% and Gingrich at 22%. Gingrich was at just 8% in a CNN poll in October.
Gingrich’s campaign was left for dead by many in May and June, following a number of controversies that spurred some of his top advisers and staffers quit, and that left the campaign coffers in the red.
But the former House Speaker has performed well in 10 major GOP presidential debates held this year, acting as the elder statesman while many of his rivals for the nomination attacked each other.
According to the survey, on national security issues, 36% of Republicans say Gingrich is most qualified to be commander-in-chief – 16 points higher than Romney.
While Gingrich has some major strengths, the poll indicates he also has some weaknesses. Only 9% of Republicans say he is the most likable candidate. Republican voters also don’t think he’s the best choice for getting the economy moving again, and they see Romney, not Gingrich, as the Republican with the best chance of beating President Barack Obama next November.
The CNN poll was conducted by ORC International from November 18-20, with 1,019 adult Americans, including 402 Republicans and independents who lean towards the GOP, questioned by telephone. The survey’s sampling error for Republican primary questions is plus or minus five percentage points.