As I have said before, under no plausible scenario can the eventual GOP presidential nominee lose Virginia in 2012 and win the White House. Next week’s Virginia state Senate elections could be a positive sign for Republicans seeking to unseat Obama next year. Reuters Ian Simpson weighs in:
Virginia’s state Senate elections next week are shaping up as an early signal for President Barack Obama ahead of national elections next year.
Republicans have a strong shot at taking control of the state Senate from Democrats on Tuesday, political analysts said. A win would put state government solidly in Republican hands in an important swing state, and mark a sharp turnaround from 2008, when Obama became the first Democrat to win Virginia since 1964.
Political analysts said loss of the 40-seat state Senate to Republicans would be a bad sign for Obama as he seeks to win Virginia and its 13 electoral votes next year.
Underscoring the state’s significance, Obama toured Virginia last month, Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney has visited a northern Virginia campaign office, and former President Bill Clinton held a campaign fund-raiser for Democratic state Senate candidates.
The Democrats now control the Senate by a 22-18 margin. Although local issues such as gun control, traffic jams and education dominate the races, some Republican candidates have made Obama and his handling of the sluggish national economy an issue.